electoral votes

The Associated Press thinks, according to their “analysis”, that Barack Obama could win Tennessee:

The Associated Press released an article today explaining how a 30% increase in voter turnout for Obama in the black community could swing the South, including Tennessee, into the blue column. The article cites the fact that Georgia was won by only 216,000 votes, and with the 30% increase Obama  would take the state by 84,000 votes.

Daniel Larison discusses Barack Obama’s curious early strategy:

In the most extensive poll taken to date - 46,274 likely voters in all 50 states shows that if the election were held today, Barack Obam would be President of the United States.

In the most extensive poll taken to date - 46,274 likely voters in all 50 states shows that if the election were held today, Barack Obam would be President of the United States. What is most remarkable is that Obama has enough electoral votes to win the presidency without counting any “toss-up states”. [...]

The Democratic Leadership Council’s blog makes the case against the electoral college:

Would that all states apportioned their electoral votes, instead of using a winner-take-all system; but electoral college reform is, practically speaking, far removed from the pressing problems that affect our daily lives.

In a close election, where the electoral vote count matters, two states could play a defining role — and they are not the ones you normally hear about:

A possible scenario in the Presidential contest as presented by Politico:

The Barack Obama campaign is prepared to cede the battlegrounds of Ohio and Florida to John McCain if need be: